S.G.VOMBATKERE | 23 NOVEMBER, 2016

Interlinking Rivers: Cupidity Or Stupidity


The idea

A project to interlink Indian rivers was formally declared in 2002. It was envisaged as a grand scheme to link 37 major Indian rivers by 30 link canals (14 Himalayan and 16 peninsular) with a total length of 14,900-km.(Map above:The interlinking of rivers (ILR) project, it had a first-estimate cost of Rs.5,60,000 crores (Rs.5.6 trillion).

But the project is not simply a scheme to connect rivers by canals. It is a system of large dams and high-capacity canals to sequentially transfer very large volumes of water from one river basin to another, to connect the high-discharge, perennial Himalayan rivers with the seasonal rivers of peninsular India. The phrase “sequential transfer” is important because the system was based on the concept that, with the exception of the Brahmaputra and Ganga rivers which were primary donors and Cauvery which is a recipient basin, every other river basin would donate its “surplus” water to another river basin in exchange for water which it received.

Since the inception of the ILR project, there have been questions raised concerning the legal, procedural, socio-economic and technical aspects of its validity, and many well-argued and authoritative articles in this regard have been written and published. Besides these, many meetings and agitations on-the-ground also took place to oppose ILR. It is not the intention of this writer to repeat these arguments or recount the agitations.

This article recounts the 'progress' of the ILR project, starting with the idea itself, the manner in which it came into being and tracing its promotion upto the present, and focusses on the participation and role of the central and state governments and the apex judiciary in promoting the ILR project over the years. But before going into the 'history' of ILR, let us briefly look at India's water resources.

Water resources and use

India has traditionally used water from rivers, lakes (natural and man-made) and shallow wells for agriculture, and in more recent times, deep bore wells using electric pumps. Irrigation by canals, especially sourced from Ganga and its tributaries, and in some peninsular rivers, dates back into history.

India's Himalayan rivers are perennial because non-monsoon flow is due to glacier and snow melt, and most peninsular rivers have been perennial mostly because of the Western Ghats' forest cover. Since the monsoon delivers about 75% (3,000 BCM) of annual rainfall in the four months June to September, rivers are subject to heavy flood flow in these months. The other eight months provide scanty (1,000 BCM) rainfall, and in any case, the rainfall pattern is far from uniform across the subcontinent.

Thus India, even with an annual precipitation of 4,000 BCM, has large arid and semi-arid regions, and also large regions of moderate-to-heavy rainfall. According to the Ministry of Water Resources (MoWR), the annual water resources of the country as measured in terms of run-off in the river systems, is estimated as 1,953 BCM, with the utilizable resources as 690 BCM of surface water and 396 BCM of ground water. [BCM=billion cubic metres].

Simplistic but deceptively attractive idea

A characteristic especially of the Gangetic rivers is monsoon flood which annually affects large areas of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, just as the Brahmaputra river does in Assam. It is well argued that flood is a natural feature of rivers, and that flood intensity is mitigated by upstream forest cover and vegetation. But in the last five or six decades, mountain and hill deforestation has resulted in larger volumes of flood water arriving in shorter durations. Some of this flood gets trapped behind “flood control structures” (embankments), instead of receding by flowing away in the river channel. The water trapped behind embankments stagnates for weeks together, causing devastation by serious loss of livelihoods and property, social disruption and health crises. Thus flood disasters are, to a large extent, man-made. Further, while some areas are in the grip of flood devastation even after rainfall has ceased (as in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar), there are many areas a mere 5 to 10-km distant, which suffer from severe water shortage. This demonstrates the trivial utility of the concept of “water-surplus” regions supplying water to “water-deficit” regions hundreds of kilometres away.

However, neglecting ground realities, government officials deliberated on how to handle the annually recurring disasters of flood and drought which existed simultaneously in widely separated river basins. The Ministry of Irrigation (later MoWR) had already formulated a plan for “National Perspectives for Water Development” in August 1980. This led to the establishment in 1982, of the National Water Development Agency (NWDA), a Government of India Society under MoWR, to study basin-wide surpluses and deficits, and explore the possibilities for storage, links, and transfers of water. Based on this, technocrats of MoWR conceived the simplistic but deceptively attractive idea ofsimultaneous mitigation of flood and drought by canal-based mass-transport of water from “water-surplus” areas of the Brahmaputra and Ganga basins to the “water-deficit” areas in peninsular India.

Kick-starting ILR

Linking distant rivers by canals on a grand scale was not a new idea, because even as far back as 1972, Dr.K.L.Rao had proposed the “Ganga-Cauvery link canal” which Government rejected as being too expensive, and in 1977 airlines Capt Dastur proposed a “national garland canal” scheme which was found to be technically faulty.

NWDA's idea remained dormant until President of India, Dr.A.P.J.Abdul Kalam, stated in his 2002 pre-Independence Day speech that interlinking of rivers was inescapable in solving India's flood and drought problems. The logic behind Dr.Kalam's statement has never been revealed. But taking a cue from this, in September 2002 Advocate Ranjit Kumar (amicus curiae in another matter) filed a short application praying that the Supreme Court should direct government to take up this project. CJI Justice B.N.Kirpal accordingly issued Notices to the States and the Centre. When the matter came up for hearing on the day before Justice Kirpal was to retire, and in the absence of response from all states but one, he presumed that states have no objection to ILR, and passed an order to government to take up and complete the ILR project in the shortest possible time. The ILR project conceived in the 1980s was thus born in 2002, without proper application of mind by the learned judge, without a study of alternatives, without discussion in Parliament, and without scrutiny by the Planning Commission.

With uncharacteristic and unseemly haste, and by-passing all planning procedures and checks for major projects, the Vajpayee-led NDA government kick-started the ILR project, estimated by MoWR engineers to cost Rs.5,60,000 crores, by constituting a Task Force for ILR on 13 December 2002. The ILR project envisaged 30 river-linking canals, 14 Himalayan and 16 peninsular, with a total length of 14,900-km. There was no mention made of dams.

Sensing huge opportunity, CII and FICCI enthusiastically supported ILR, and Government set the completion target date as 31 December 2016. On what calculations the cost estimate and the target date were arrived at, were never made public. Under a dynamic Chairman, the ILR TF went into over-drive, going to great lengths and expense to popularise the idea of ILR among the public, with ready help from CII and FICCI in organising seminars, etc. When questioned on the planning processes, the ILR TF Chairman sometimes stated that ILR was “a concept” and at other times, he described it as “a project”, displaying unbecoming confusion or calculated obfuscation. For its part, NWDA claimed that ILR will provide water to irrigate 35 million hectares of farmland and supply 34 million kW of hydroelectricity, but never substantiated its claims with data.

Trenchant opposition


Cogent objections and arguments against ILR were raised by scientists, engineers, social scientists, grassroots and civil society activists, and others, but government's studied intransparency and in-built unaccountability resulted in stone-wallng, ignoring, or side-stepping by directing dissenters to the wholly inadequate ILR TF website. The most fundamental opposition to ILR was that the mega-project was ill-conceived, and a case of reverse planning logic in the sense that, without consideration of all alternatives to solve the problem of water availability, it was decided a priori that ILR was a solution, and proceeding to address the modalities of its implementation.

Eventually, on-the-ground country-wide resistance from thousands of people who would be affected by various components of the ILR project, combined with the strong arguments and objections against ILR, resulted in ILR TF being wound up on 29 December 2004 (having “completed its role”, as the new UPA government put it), and becoming a Special Cell in MoWR, to coordinate the planning and work, and prepare DPRs under guidance of two senior technocrats of NWDA.

Initiatives and confusion

On 25 November 2008, the Supreme Court asked Government why not even a single link out of the thirty planned was underway, and was informed that the consensus between States had not yet been worked out and in cases where it was done, the signatures of the State governments had not been obtained. “The Pioneer” (November 26, 2008) reported that the Bench directed the Centre to file a detailed status report by January 2009, indicating the proposed dates for completion of the Feasibility Reports (FRs).

“The Indian Express” (December 2, 2009) reported that UPA government's MoWR minister P.K.Bansal told the Lok Sabha that interlinking Himalayan with peninsular rivers (re-estimated at Rs.4,44,000 crores by National Council of Applied Economic Research) was unaffordable, but that Himalayan and peninsular rivers would be linked separately. At the same time, UPA's MoEF minister Jairam Ramesh, declared the ILR project would be a “human, ecological and economic disaster for the country”, though smaller inter-basin transfers could go on.

In October 2011, questioning whether the ILR project would require land acquisition, the Supreme Court said that it might not favour the project if it meant a huge financial burden on the government. “My concern is only on what is the financial liability of the project. We want to make it clear that we would not pass order on it if it causes huge financial burden”, observed a three-judge Bench, headed by CJI Justice S.H.Kapadia. The Bench also directed amicus curiae Advocate Ranjit Kumar to file a report on the financial viability of the project in a month’s time, and scheduled the next hearing for January 2012.

Clearly, apart from the political compulsions of not endorsing a proposal made by the predecessor NDA government, there was considerable confusion in government circles on the financial, economic and environmental viability of ILR project considered as a whole. As clearly, one cannot help but notice the unusual interest evinced by the Supreme Court over the years, in promoting the ILR project.

The wheels of justice

Thereafter, two writ petitions on ILR dating back to 2002 were disposed off by the Supreme Court's judgment of 27 February 2012, in which it directed Government to implement the ILR project by setting up a special committee whose decisions would take precedence over all administrative bodies created under the orders of the Supreme Court or otherwise. It directed the union cabinet to take all final and appropriate decisions, and laid down a (“preferable”) time limit of 30 days for such decision-making, and granted “liberty to the learned amicus curiae to file contempt petition in the Supreme Court, in the event of default or non-compliance of the directions contained in its order”.

Here was a clear case of judicial over-reach into the arena of the executive, with a Lok Sabha interested mostly in politicking. However, the executive (UPA government), doubtless attracted by the possibilities implicit in the huge expenditures which the ILR project entailed, overcame its accustomed opposition to judicial encroachment, and raised no objections.

With the BJP-led NDA-2 government coming to power in May 2014, MoWR minister Uma Bharti vigorously revived the NDA-1 government's original ILR proposal, without reference to, leave alone resolution of the outstanding substantive issues. Thus, the ILR project, at humongous social, environmental/ecological and financial/economic cost continues to be promoted without proper application of the judicial mind and without consideration of alternatives. The hand of the politician-bureaucrat-corporate nexus in furthering its neoliberal economic agenda is plain as daylight.

The foregoing brief 14-years “time-line” of ILR demonstrates how different members of the Apex judiciary and different parties and politicians of the executive (to the exclusion of the legislature, since ILR was not discussed in Parliament) have been by-passing established planning practices in promoting and pressing a ruinously expensive national mega-project that entails huge displacement of populations. With NWDA's unsubstantiated assurances of irrigation advantages, these authorities were only concerned with time and cost issues, and never considered how much land was required and how many families would be negatively impacted by ILR.

The opposition to ILR, which became dormant after ILR TF was wound up, has revived following the current drive of MoWR minister Uma Bharti, to revive the ILR project.

Disputes

In the interim, there have been several on-going inter-State and inter-basin water-sharing disputes, which remain unresolved despite judicial (Supreme Court) interventions. It is moot to dwell briefly on water disputes, since the ILR project is all about inter-State, inter-basin mass-transport of water.

Water disputes can be between countries (international), between states (inter-State) and within states (intra-State), and are due to disagreements regarding different perspectives on water. Disagreement could be on one or more of the following: # Validity of hydrological data; # Construction or operation of river projects; # Water utilization; # Real-time water availability; # Immediate, seasonal and anticipated water needs; # Treaties or awards by tribunals or courts; # Ratio of water sharing especially in times of water scarcity; # Riparian rights; # Political compulsions; etc.

In the inter-State context, the decades-long Cauvery water dispute principally between Karnataka and Tamil Nadu, is a typical example of states sharing water of one (Cauvery) river basin, which involves all the above reasons for dispute. Another typical example is the decades-long SYL canal dispute of Punjab and Haryana, inter-basin (Sutlej and Yamuna) water sharing, with Punjab enacting a law not to share its water with Haryana, and the Supreme Court striking down that law as “unconstitutional”. In both these and other cases, there has been public violence and social unrest.

In the international context, India's disputes on water are with Pakistan (on Indus water) and Bangla Desh (Ganga and Brahmaputra water), again involving the above disagreements. India's dispute with China on Brahmaputra (Yarlung Tsangpo) water is nascent so far, but the ILR project has been objected to by Bangladesh and Nepal.

For part two: here

(Major General S.G. Vombatkere, VSM, retired as Additional DG Discipline & Vigilance in Army HQ AG's Branch. He is a member of the National Alliance of People's Movements (NAPM) and People's Union for Civil Liberties (PUCL).)

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